Thursday, January 10, 2008

2008 Bold Predictions: ATLANTIC DIVISION

BOSTON CELTICS

Rajon Rondo


If you ask the fantasy geeks now they would agree that Rajon Rondo is playing miserably! I am also sure that they would agree that this is a good time to get him while he’s cold and being outplayed by Tony Allen. I've always looked at Rondo as a long term prospect in terms of fantasy because he is young and will develop through time. He is the kind of player that is positioned to get good fantasy stats (especially in steals)! Playing point for the Celtics' Big Three is an assurance that you will get the assists that you need. Expectations for him during the preseason will materialize this season and will probably get it going by the end of January 2008.

Glen Davis

As the Boston Celtics continue to make waves and blow out games in the NBA, rookie Glen “Big Baby” Davis will be given many playing opportunities due to his size and energy. There is a chance that he will receive an average of 20 minutes per game starting January 2008 which will improve his fantasy statistics and will go on and average 9 points, 6 rebounds per game. Davis should be given a look in deep leagues.


NEW JERSEY NETS

Vince Carter

Whatever happens in the season – slump or injury wise, I believe Vince Carter will hold on to his fantasy ranking of a second rounder and a first rounder in deep leagues. Why? VC has a knack of exploding when it counts most – the fantasy playoffs three weeks before the NBA regular season ends. 40-point games streaks are possible if you have Vince Carter in hand so why trade him now? Grab him if you can and keep him if you have him.

Jason Kidd

Jason Kidd averages: 11.6 points, 8.7 rebounds, 10.7 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.5 threes per game. Kidd is an exceptional player who gets better when he gets older. Kidd will continue his triple double prowess and will ride high together with Vince Carter and will lead the Nets once again to becoming an Eastern power. Next season will be a big Jason Kidd year but I expect that to be the last.


NEW YORK KNICKS

Truthfully, I don’t know what to say here because the Knicks suck and will continue to suck. As for the players rotation and production I really think what we see now will remain the same until season’s end. Jamal Crawford will continue to be the most reliable Knick. David Lee is one heck of a rebounder but is overshadowed by Zach Randolph’s talent. Stephon Marbury will still be erratic but will be less of a problem child, and lastly, please teach Eddy Curry to jump!


PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

Louis Williams and the rest of the team

I have been predicting that Lou Williams will be this year’s Monta Ellis, and it's unsurprising that he is starting to come around. The trade to grab Giricek for Korver is really to open up more minutes for Williams. The 76ers have a good team but are just a bunch of role and support players without a go-to-guy with a killer attitude. Samuel Dalembert is a good center and defensive presence. Andre Miller is a smart point guard. Reggie Evans is excellent for what he is known for - being a banger and rebounder. This team has been named Andre Iguodala’s team but Iggy has shown that he is not a go-to player, but is better if he is a sidekick of sorts - similar to what Pippen did for Jordan. And with these things to consider - and my prediction of Lou Williams becoming a Monta Ellis type - I will boldly say that before the end of this season, the Sixers will finally have their go-to-guy who isn’t afraid to hit big shots and lead this team to victories. Lou Williams please stand up!


TORONTO
RAPTORS

Andrea Bargnani

Andrea Bargnani is a bust…for now. Andrea started well in the season but has not yet performed up to par with preseason expectations. The former number 1 pick is averaging less than his rookie season across the board, which is a big disappointment. Don’t expect his numbers to explode soon as his value this year will continue to diminish. If you have a better player available in your free agent pool go ahead and drop Andrea - what can I say? Even his current rookie comparison Yi Jianlian is doing better than him.

Jose Calderon

Gotta give love to Jose Calderon. He is so good that TV commentators of the Raptors vs. Hornets game are matching up Chris Paul and Jose Calderon and calling them the point guards of the future of the NBA. Jose is amazingly efficient and has an excellent assist-turnover ratio of 6.5! Calderon is shooting above 50% and is shooting almost 90% from the free throw stripe. He is such a gift to his fantasy owners – he is my pick for this year’s Most Improved Player.

Monday, January 7, 2008

Are You For Real?

Andrew Bynum, are you for real?



During the off season, Kobe Bryant made no secret of his displeasure with his young, 7-foot teammate. Last season, Andrew Bynum showed us flashes of what he could do, but his raw talent seemed to be offset by a poor work ethic.

This season, Bynum has taken the Black Mamba's advice to heart, and seems to be a whole new player. He is averaging 12.4 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 2 blocks per game this season, along with .625 FG%, offset only by a mediocre .691 FT% (he doesn't take that many FT shots though) and negligible steals numbers.

If you weren't a believer in him, you better be. If you're in need of good big man numbers, try to make a trade for him, as even though he's not as popular as other players, he certainly delivers. He looks to be determined to maintain his production throughout the season, so if you own him, don't react to Kwame "The Bust" Brown's returning from injury - Bynum is for real, and he's the big man of LA.

*****

Manu is back!

With Manu Ginobili back from injury, it's no surprise that Michael Finley and Matt Bonner, who had filled in nicely with solid offensive contributions, have experienced a huge drop in their fantasy value. In today's game, Finley scored just 3 points on 1-10 shootin, but logged 36 minutes; Bonner added 4 points and 4 rebounds in 19 minutes. Ginobili was being worked back, and played 29 minutes, scoring 23 points (5-12 shooting).

Even though they play different positions, these two basically provide some offense for the Spurs, and Bonner will be the one most likely to lose his value. Finley still logs decent consistent minutes, so even though he'll see a drop in production, he might be useful as a specialist in deeper leagues.

So, if you're in a not-so-deep league and own Finley and/or Bonner, it might be time to let go of the mirage. They're not for real.

*****

Cast-away


28 points, 13 rebounds, 1 block. Pau Gasol. Pau Gasol?!

Throughout the season, Gasol has been a shadow of his former self, and has simply not lived up to his preseason rank (top 15). However, the Bearded Spaniard has been steadily improving, and might be averaging 20-10-4-2 before long. For Gasol owners, hold on to him if no one's offering you consistent, top 15 value. Gasol is for real, and even if he is traded (say, to Chicago?), his fantasy value won't take a hit (in fact, I believe it'll spike, as will the value of the other Bulls with an excellent post option).

*****

Marko Jaric may be the next Tony Parker.


Wolves guard Marko Jaric certainly has something to cheer about. Unfortunately, it's not his team's recent play.

But not in terms of fantasy value, no - it just so happens that Jaric is dating Brazilian supermodel Adriana Lima.

And while he did put up good games recently, he's also played badly in some. As a starter for the T-wolves, Jaric is putting up decent numbers, but be careful - when Foye returns, Jaric will lose some value, unless they are played together. He may be of some value in deeper leagues, so be sure to watch him.

*****

Larry Hughes: Kidnapped by Aliens?

Not really. I was just checking his game log, and after that two game outburst (22 and 36 points respectively, on a combined 19-34 or .558 FG) he's put up more than a half-dozen horrendous games.

In his last six (when he's returned to the starting lineup), he's scored 4, 17, 2, 14, 4, and in today's game, 14 (combined 23-64 or only .359 FG over that span). He seems to be alternating good games with bad, and it does not bode well for owners. If there are more consistent options on the waiver wire, you might be better off with them, especially if you don't have a high FG player to compensate for Hughes off nights. He's shot 18-37 (.486) on those double digit nights, but a terrifying 5-27 (.185) on those off nights. Verdict: For real - that he's going to absolutely kill your FG with the number of shots he's taking. With his horrendous contract, I'm not sure how Cleveland can move him.

Hughes is so inconsistent, even Cavs fans are hating. Check out this site - Hey Larry Hughes, Please Stop Taking So Many Bad Shots.


Larry Hughes would do well to keep this in mind. Photo courtesy of heylarryhughespleasestoptakingsomanybadshots.com .

Other photos courtesy of Yahoo! Sports/AP.

Saturday, January 5, 2008

2008 Bold Prediction: NORTHWEST DIVISON

DENVER NUGGETS

Marcus Camby

So far so good with regard to Marcus Camby’s health. He has played in 31 of the possible 32 games so far for Denver Nugguts. That’s pretty impressive for this injury-prone fantasy monster. Camby will miss a few games but will be able to play 75 games this year – most ever in his career. Camby is a high risk high reward player so for those who took the risk, very good for your fantasy team. You’re in line for more of his current averages of 8.8 points, 14.3 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.0 steals and 3.8 blocks!


MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVES

Randy Foye

Rumors say he might return as early as next week. If Foye is still available in your league grab him now! If he’s owned by other teams go ahead and buy him low. This is your last chance of getting him, go ahead and persuade the owners who owned Foye to make a trade with you because I'll bet you, he will explode! Mark my words, Randy Foye will blow up! To all you doubters out there, my boy Randy will go and average 20 points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists, 1.5 steals and will contribute 2 threes per game.

Al Jefferson

Big Al is the lone consistent player that the Timberwolves have right now. His current numbers are 20.8 points, 12.3 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game. With the return of Randy Foye, expect Big Al to play even better. When Foye returns, Jefferson will average 24 points, 13.5 rebounds and will have 2 blocks per game.


PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS

Travis Outlaw

Outlaw's potential is intriguing and will beat out Martell Webster in the starting five by the end of the season. After the all-star break, Outlaw will go on provide its fantasy owners Danny Granger like statistics. Outlaw will average 17 points, 6 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 block and 1 three. Can I hear you say buy low?

LaMarcus Aldridge

As much as the improvement of Aldridge by posting 18 points, 7.5 boards and 1.1 blocks per game, I don’t see his numbers improving. I also don’t see him going on to play 70 games as well. It's up to you if you want to keep him or trade him.


SEATTLE
SUPERSONICS

Jeff Green

As much as focus given to Kevin Durant, I want to focus on the other Sonics’ rookie - Jeff Green. 2008 will be a phenomenal year for Green; he will go on and average the same statistics he posted during his junior year in Georgetown. Jeff Green will average 14 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 0.8 steals and 1.2 blocks.


UTAH
JAZZ

Carlos Boozer

Boozer has been excellent this year. As expected, this Boozer will go on and average a double-double but won’t give you a block. Boozer is currently averaging 24 points, 11.4 rebounds but what impresses me most is yeah he is a big man who will not contribute in the blocks category but can be a boost with steals and assists. Booze is averaging 1.4 steals per game and 3 assists per game. I don’t see him going down soon in terms of statistics and injury. Go on and ride him to a playoff spot!

Kyle Korver

As much as most people think that Korver’s value will go down the drain after his trade to the Jazz, I think otherwise. I'm a believer in Korver, and he will see minutes substituting Kirilenko and Ronnie Brewer and will at least match last season's averages - 14 points, 3.5 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 1.8 threes per game. That’s the least so expect a higher average.

(Editor's note: With Korver in Utah, it's Ronnie Brewer who stands to lose the most. While Brewer is a good defensive player, Korver is a better threat from long range, their specialties might results in a deadlock in terms of fantasy value. I'm thinking Korver will see around the same or less minutes than Brewer, and average around 11 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assist and 1.8 threes.)



Thursday, January 3, 2008

2008 Bold Predictions: CENTRAL DIVISION

CHICAGO BULLS

Ben Gordon

Since Coach Jim Boylan took over the coaching reigns and decided to play Gordon off the bench, he has exploded by averaging 29.3 points per game in four games! If Gordon pulls off another three straight 30 point-game run this year go ahead and let him go. Sell him high while he’s hot - there is a possibility of you getting a better and more consistent player in return. If you decided to keep him, he will continue to score but won’t be averaging 25-30 points in the 2nd half.

Tyrus Thomas / Joakim Noah / Aaron Gray

For now these three have no fantasy value but expect one of them to stand out of the rest and the surprising thing is that Joakim Noah is starting to play well and might be the player that could help teams in deep leagues. The Bulls should not give up yet on Thomas. He is still raw and young; he is even younger than rookie Joakim Noah! I still hope that Tyrus Thomas turns into a monster soon because I don’t want the Bulls to let go another struggling player and later have him turn out to become a dominant force – such as Tyson Chandler.


CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

Anderson Varejao

The return of Anderson Varejao resulted in two things fantasy wise. To those who were able to grab him while he is in limbo – that’s great! You’ve found yourself a decent rebounder who can punch in a few points and to those holding on to Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Drew Gooden thinking you got a steal and wouldn’t let go, I’m sorry to disappoint you, because Varejao numbers - currently at 7 points and 8 rebounds per game - will still go up as high as 9 points and 9 rebounds per game. He will eat out the fantasy values for both Ilgauskas and Gooden.

Larry Hughes

He will get traded – that’s all I have to say.


DETROIT
PISTONS

Strong and Reliable

The Pistons will have their way in reaching the conference finals again due to their ever-reliable players. Fantasy wise, all of the Pistons’ players’ current value will consistently stay the same until the end of the season…its getting boring here.


INDIANA PACERS

Danny Granger

The Pacers have found their new star. Danny Granger has been good and will continue to do so in the coming months. I see him averaging 20 points, 7 rebounds, a block and a steal and adding two 3-pointers. Hold on to him and don’t underestimate him. Granger is often underrated in the fantasy world.


MILUAKEE BUCKS

Yi Jianlian

In the 2nd half of the season, the Bucks will continue to trust Yi’s game and will further give him minutes. Yi will average 32 minutes per game starting January, and this will give him a boost fantasy wise. Yi will keep posting better numbers and will start to shoot a three per game; he will average 15 points per game in 2008.

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

2008 Bold Predictions: SOUTHWEST DIVISION

DALLAS MAVERICKS

Devin Harris / Josh Howard

Harris and Howard have been pleasant surprises for their fantasy owners this season as this season both players have statistical upsurges compared to their stats last year which makes both of them a steal during draft day. Josh Howard is very consistent and is slowly showing the fantasy world that he is not just a poor man’s Shawn Marion. His numbers are 21.2 points, 7.1 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocks – an improvement of all production except from steals and blocks. But don’t be despair, it’s just a matter of time until Josh Howard catches up with his steals and blocks production last year. Which means if you have Howard right now, keep him until the end of the season – he is worth it. As for Devin Harris, his situation is similar to Howard as his numbers have vastly improved from last year. Harris is currently averaging 13.9 points, 2.6 rebounds, 5.4 assists and 1.8 steals. What impresses me most is that Harris is averaging 1.8 steals! That’s big in the fantasy world! By the end of the season, Harris’ assists production will reach to 6 assists per game which makes him another player to keep until the end of the season.

Brandon Bass

Brandon who? Bass has been a good support off the bench for the Mavericks this year and in the month of November, Bass nearly averaged 10 points and 5 rebounds per game. Bass will have another “November Surge” during the coming months and might be worth a look for deep leagues.


HOUSTON ROCKETS

Yao Ming

The real NBA question is if Houston Rockets can win with Tracy Mcgrady and Yao Ming while the real fantasy question is if Yao Ming can perform without Mcgrady. Yao has a tendency to have a sub par performance without Tracy but I expect Yao to break out of that slump and learn to stand and carry his team on his own. In addition to that, with trade rumors circulating around the Rockets – the pressure is really on Yao because Mcgrady will be the player traded when that time comes.


MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

A Big Second Half

The Memphis Grizzlies are horrible right now, and they have a current win-loss standing of 8-22 but I predict the Grizz will turned it around during the 2nd half of the season and will end of either the last spot of the playoff spot or the 9th or 10th spot of the Western Conference. The reason? The continuous consistent play of Rudy Gay, The aggressiveness of Pau Gasol and the effectiveness of Darko Milicic. Pau Gasol will average 20 points, 9 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 blocks in 2008. Darko Milicic’s numbers will improve and will reach 10 points, 8 rebounds and 2 blocks which means one thing both Darko and Pau Gasol are buy low candidates whom you must get now if you can.

Mike Conley Jr.

Conley, Grizzlies’ 3rd pick will be given minutes starting January 2008 and will have some value if you are in a deep league. Conley can contribute as high as 5-6 assists together with a steal per game.


NEW ORLEANS HORNETS

Tyson Chandler

Chandler is currently averaging 11.5 points, 11.9 rebounds, 1.2 blocks per game and shooting 61% from the field. He is tremendously efficient and effective fantasy player if you need rebounds and at the rate he is playing believe it or not he is not yet playing to his potential yet which means Chandler is another buy low candidate that you should keep an eye on. Last season, during the month of February and March, He averaged a monstrous 12 points, 16 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game. I expect no more or no less for another similar production in the 2nd half of this season.

Chris Paul and David West

The 20-11 standings of the Hornets came no surprise when you have the number one Yahoo fantasy player in your team. Wow Chris Paul is just amazing, and is probably the best point guard right now in the NBA. Congratulation, to the people who had foreseen Paul’s explosion and drafted him – for sure you are winning your fantasy leagues!

Biggest benefactor to Paul’s amazing place is David West. Honestly, I tried to avoid David West during draft day due to his lack of boards and blocks as a big man but West’s numbers improved across the board! West is currently ranked 32 in Yahoo leagues but was ranked 52 before the start of the season. He is currently averaging 19 points, 9.6 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game. Both Paul and West will continue their tremendous play and will have great value all season long.


SAN ANTONIO SPURS

Tony Parker

Tony Parker is the Spurs’ finals MVP and season MVP. Parker is playing the best ball of his career and it’s just hard to imagine that Parker at his 7th season in the NBA is just 25. Tony Parker is averaging 20 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 6.7 assists per game. His growth potential is tremendous and next season Parker would probably go on and average 22 points and 7.5 assists per game. Love it or hate it, the Spurs will go on to the finals and be a force to reckon with.

2008 Bold Predictions: SOUTHWEST DIVISION

DALLAS MAVERICKS

Devin Harris / Josh Howard

Harris and Howard have been pleasant surprises for their fantasy owners this season as both players stats have surged upward compared to last year, which made both of them steals during draft day. Josh Howard is very consistent and is slowly showing the fantasy world that he is not just a poor man’s Shawn Marion. His numbers are 21.2 points, 7.1 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocks – an improvement of all production except from steals and blocks. But don’t despair, it’s just a matter of time until Josh Howard catches up with his steals and blocks production last year. Which means if you have Howard right now, keep him until the end of the season – he is worth it. As for Devin Harris, his situation is similar to Howard as his numbers have vastly improved from last year. Harris is currently averaging 13.9 points, 2.6 rebounds, 5.4 assists and 1.8 steals. What impresses me most is that Harris is averaging 1.8 steals! That’s big in the fantasy world! By the end of the season, Harris’ assists production will reach to 6 assists per game which makes him another player to keep until the end of the season.

Brandon Bass

Brandon who? Bass has been a good support off the bench for the Mavericks this year and in the month of November, Bass nearly averaged 10 points and 5 rebounds per game, along with decent percentages. Bass will have another “November Surge” during the coming months and might be worth a look for deep leagues.

HOUSTON ROCKETS

Yao Ming

The real NBA question is if Houston Rockets can win with Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming while the real fantasy question is if Yao Ming can perform without McGrady. Yao has a tendency to have sub par performances without Tracy but I expect Yao to break out of that slump and learn to stand and carry his team on his own. In addition to that, with trade rumors circulating around the Rockets – the pressure is really on Yao because McGrady will be the player traded when that time comes (Editors note: Particularly if the Rockets aren't in shape to reach the playoffs!).


MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

A Big Second Half

The Memphis Grizzlies are horrible right now, and they have a current win-loss standing of 8-22 but I predict the Grizz will turned it around during the 2nd half of the season and will end up with either the last spot of the playoff spot or the 9th or 10th spot of the Western Conference. The reason? The continuous consistent play of Rudy Gay, the aggressiveness of Pau Gasol and the effectiveness of Darko Milicic. Pau Gasol will average 20 points, 9 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 blocks in 2008. Darko Milicic’s numbers will improve and will reach 10 points, 8 rebounds and 2 blocks which means one thing both Darko and Pau Gasol are buy low candidates whom you must get now if you can.

Mike Conley Jr.

Conley, Grizzlies’ 3rd pick will be given minutes starting January 2008 and will have some value if you are in a deep league. Conley can contribute as high as 5-6 assists together with a steal per game.

NEW ORLEANS HORNETS

Tyson Chandler

Chandler is currently averaging 11.5 points, 11.9 rebounds, 1.2 blocks per game and shooting 61% from the field. He is tremendously efficient and effective fantasy player if you need rebounds and at the rate he is playing - believe it or not - he is not yet playing up to his potential, which means Chandler is another buy low candidate that you should keep an eye on. (Editor's note: I traded for Chandler in two of my leagues earlier in the season, and I'm reaping the benefits!) Last season, during the month of February and March, He averaged a monstrous 12 points, 16 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game. I expect no more or no less for another similar production in the 2nd half of this season.

Chris Paul and David West

The 20-11 standings of the Hornets came no surprise when you have the number one Yahoo fantasy player in your team. Wow! Chris Paul is just amazing, and is probably the best point guard right now in the NBA. Congratulations to the people who had foreseen Paul’s explosion and drafted him – with a decent enough supporting cast, you are surely winning your fantasy leagues!

The biggest benefactor to Paul’s amazing game is David West. Honestly, I tried to avoid David West during draft day due to his lack of boards and blocks as a big man, but West’s numbers improved across the board! West is currently ranked 32 in Yahoo leagues but was ranked 52 before the start of the season. He is currently averaging 19 points, 9.6 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game. Both Paul and West will continue their tremendous play and will have great value all season long, barring injuries.


SAN ANTONIO SPURS

Tony Parker

Tony Parker is the Spurs’ finals MVP and season MVP. Parker is playing the best ball of his career and it’s just hard to imagine that Parker is just in his 7th season and is just 25. Parker is averaging 20 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 6.7 assists per game. His growth potential is tremendous and next season Parker would probably go on and average 22+ points and 7.5 assists per game, with great FG%. Love them or hate them, the Spurs will go on to the Finals and be a force to be reckoned with.